Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Thursday, December 10, 2009
• Single-family, detached home sales in the Greater Albuquerque market areas are up 57.18 percent from November 2008.
• The Albuquerque, Rio Rancho, Corrales, Placitas, Bernalillo, East Mountains and Valencia County MLS areas all had at least 50 percent increases in single-family, detached home sales compared to the previous year.
• Pending homes for single-family, detached homes increased 20.69 percent from November 2008.
• A new color map showing Rio Rancho/Sandoval County home sales has been added and can be found on page 14.
Read the full November 2009 Market Report
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
|International investors bought 154,000 homes and condos in the 12-month period ending in May, and are continuing to take advantage of the weak dollar. The U.S. dollar has dropped 9 to 11 percent since June against foreign currencies like the Japanese yen, the European euro and the Canadian dollar. Another attractive feature is that, while the U.S. dollar has weakened significantly, the economy is showing signs of stabilizing along with the housing market. Nearly 46% of international home buyers paid cash for homes purchased, and the median price foreign buyers paid for a home was nearly $80,000 greater than the U.S. national median price. According to msnbc.com buyers from Brazil, Canada, France, and the Netherlands have paid mostly cash for second homes ranging from $6 million to $15 million in condo buildings.|
|While housing markets in the world’s leading economies remain distressed, hope is on the horizon. According to globalpropertyguide.com of the 27 countries which have already published their Q3 data, 16 countries have experienced rising prices and falls in only 11 countries. Economies such as the UK, Canada, Germany, Singapore, and South Africa are finally noting positive price changes quarter-on-quarter after being negatively affected during the economic slump. Of this group, the rising prices in the UK, Canada, Germany, and South Africa are the first after suffering declines every quarter since 2008. While some markets’ increases are more modest than others, the over-arching trend is toward recovery. More information on specific housing markets is available at globalpropertyguide.com.|
Tuesday, December 8, 2009
The third quarter of 2009 brought signs of relief to a U.S. economy fighting to emerge from what has been coined the Great Recession. Most measures of economic activity moved in upward trends—gross domestic product turned positive after four quarters of decline; industrial production gained; stock market indices have been surging.
However, commercial real estate did not find its footing in the constantly shifting terrain of weak fundamentals and timid transaction activity. Demand for commercial properties continued on a downward path, adding pressure on prices and rents. Moreover, credit conditions continued to tighten as banks moved to strengthen their balance sheets. As a result, vacancy rates have been rising and the volume of distressed properties has grown. Nonetheless, it is worth noting that the pace of decline in fundamentals is slowing, and sales transactions are posting positive growth.
NAR FORECAST: Commercial real estate is expected to see negative absorption, higher vacancies and declining rents. Commercial financing still poses the main challenge stabilization. While CMBS markets have been revived, volume is insufficient to address maturing debt.
For the 4th Quarter 2009 report, please visit: http://www.realtor.org/
Monday, December 7, 2009
The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in October, increased 3.7 percent to 114.1 from 110.0 in September, and is 31.8 percent above October 2008 when it was 86.6. The rise from a year ago is the biggest annual increase ever recorded for the index, which is at the highest level since March 2006 when it was 115.2.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said home sales are experiencing a pendulum swing. “Keep in mind that housing had been underperforming over most of the past year. Based on the demographics of our growing population, existing-home sales should be in the range of 5.5 million to 6.0 million annually, but we were well below the 5-million mark before the home buyer tax credit stimulus,” he said. “This means the tax credit is helping unleash a pent-up demand from a large pool of financially qualified renters, much more than borrowing sales from the future.”
- Pending sales in the Northeast surged 19.9 percent to 100.2 in October and is 44.2 percent above a year ago.
- In the Midwest, the index rose 11.6 percent to 109.6 and is 36.6 percent higher than October 2008.
- Sales in the South increased 5.4 percent to an index of 115.4, which is 31.6 percent above a year ago.
- In the West, the index fell 11.2 percent to 127.7 but is 21.9 percent above October 2008.
Yun cautioned that home sales could dip in the months ahead. “The expanded tax credit has only been available for the past three weeks, but the time between when buyers start looking at homes until they close on a sale can take anywhere from three to five months. Given the lag time, we could see a temporary decline in closed existing-home sales from December until early spring when we get another surge, but the weak job market remains a major concern and could slow the recovery process.
“Still, as inventories continue to decline and balance is gradually restored between buyers and sellers, we should reach self-sustaining housing conditions and firming home prices in most areas around the middle of 2010. That would mean broad wealth stabilization for the vast number of middle-class families,” Yun said.